Season History

Weekly Archive

Every completed matchup preview and recap from the season, preserved for future embarrassment.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 6

6 Matchups▾

They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

👑 Kalebglas13

Kalebglas13

Proj 130.93

Final 109.10

Proj 131.20

Final 138.55

Preview

Kaleb Fixed the Lineup. Bower Still Has the Edge.

Tuesday made this matchup look like a bye-week execution. Kaleb has spent the rest of the week repairing the damage. Caleb Williams, MarShawn Lloyd, Travis Kelce, Germie Bernard, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt now fill several of the holes that originally left Kaleb projected for barely 60 points. Thursday also helped narrow things: Jaylen Waddle scored 6.40 for Kaleb while Emanuel Wilson and the Seattle defense combined for 17.65 for Bower. They Hit The 2nd Bower still leads the expected finish 119.74–99.74, but the margin is now 20 instead of nearly 58. Josh Allen, James Cook, Derrick Henry, DK Metcalf, and Emeka Egbuka remain on Bower's side. Kaleb still needs an upset, but at least this now resembles a football matchup.

Recap

Kaleb Finishes the Repair Job With a Win

The lineup looked broken on Tuesday. By Sunday night, Kaleb had turned it into a 138.55–109.10 win over They Hit The 2nd Bower. Christian McCaffrey led Kaleb with 30.70, Germie Bernard exploded for 25.70, Caleb Williams scored 21.55, and DeVonta Smith added 20.50. Bower got 24.85 from Josh Allen, 24.30 from James Cook, and 17.80 from Emeka Egbuka, but Derrick Henry managed only 5.00 and Emanuel Wilson added 5.20. Kaleb beat projection and improves to 4-2. What started as a bye-week disaster ended as a very comfortable win.

👑 Dmangina

Dmangina

Odd Squad

oddthomas

Proj 132.70

Final 133.65

Proj 156.38

Final 121.75

Preview

Odd Squad Is 5-0 and Now the Projection Agrees

On Tuesday, Dmangina was actually favored over undefeated Odd Squad. By Friday, that story has flipped decisively. Odd Squad is now projected to win 154.83–134.81, a 20.02-point advantage in the week's biggest standings matchup. Odd Squad repaired the quarterback spot with Jordan Love and now brings Rhamondre Stevenson, Garrett Wilson, Nico Collins, George Kittle, Chris Olave, and a New England defense projected for 22.53 points. Dmangina counters with Tyler Shough, Bijan Robinson, Javonte Williams, Malik Nabers, Colston Loveland, and the Buffalo defense. Chris Godwin has replaced the injured DJ Moore, while Dontayvion Wicks is questionable. Dmangina is 4-1. Odd Squad is 5-0. The undefeated team no longer needs to argue with the projection.

Recap

Dmangina Ends the Perfect Season

Odd Squad entered Week 6 undefeated and favored by more than 20 points. Dmangina did not care. Dmangina won 133.65–121.75 behind 34.40 from Tyler Shough, 28.50 from Malik Nabers, and 18.50 from Colston Loveland. Odd Squad got 26.00 from Jordan Love, 24.70 from Bhayshul Tuten, and 17.90 from George Kittle, but Rhamondre Stevenson scored only 3.60, Garrett Wilson managed 8.40, and Juwan Johnson scored zero. Odd Squad missed projection by 34.63 points. Dmangina moves to 5-1 and officially ends the league's last perfect record.

Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

👑 Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

Proj 150.72

Final 156.40

Proj 154.41

Final 175.45

Preview

Thursday Flips Cowabunga-Sitzprobe by Less Than a Point

This matchup was close on Tuesday. It is now absurdly close. Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 25.40 Thursday for Cowabunga Dude!, beating his projection by 2.90 and flipping the expected result. Cowabunga now leads Sitzprobe 151.63–151.03. That's a 0.59-point difference. Cowabunga still has Bryce Young, D'Andre Swift, George Pickens, Brock Bowers, Michael Wilson, Carnell Tate, and a Kansas City defense projected for 23.76. Sitzprobe answers with Trevor Lawrence, Kenneth Walker, Zay Flowers, Isaiah Likely, Tucker Kraft, Matthew Golden, Braelon Allen, and the Jacksonville defense. Cowabunga has the Thursday points. Sitzprobe has essentially the same projection. Good luck finding a safer prediction than 'something stupid will happen.'

Recap

Sitzprobe Wins the Week's Shootout

The projections said this would be close. The actual scoring said everybody should just keep scoring forever. Sitzprobe beat Cowabunga Dude! 175.45–156.40 in the highest-scoring matchup of Week 6. Trevor Lawrence erupted for 39.40, Kenneth Walker scored 27.90, Isaiah Likely added 23.90, Matthew Golden scored 22.40, and Luther Burden added 17.50. Cowabunga put up a championship-worthy score of its own behind 26.65 from Bryce Young, 25.40 from Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 23.00 from D'Andre Swift, and 21.35 from the Kansas City defense. Cowabunga beat projection and still lost by 19.05. Sitzprobe improves to 4-2 after dropping 175.

Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

👑 TinyGhosts

TinyGhosts

Proj 134.11

Final 100.15

Proj 134.24

Final 108.40

Preview

Mike and TinyGhosts Are Separated by Seven Hundredths

Somebody is getting a second win, and apparently the fantasy gods would like everyone to suffer before finding out who. TinyGhosts now holds a 127.23–127.16 expected advantage over Unnecessary Intoxication. That is a difference of 0.07 points. RJ Harvey gave TinyGhosts a nice Thursday start with 14.60, beating his projection by 4.12. Mike hasn't had anyone play yet and still has Kirk Cousins, Kyren Williams, CeeDee Lamb, Rome Odunze, Keon Coleman, Blake Corum, Darren Waller, and the Raiders defense. TinyGhosts counters with Patrick Mahomes, Chuba Hubbard, Tetairoa McMillan, Mike Evans, Mark Andrews, Saquon Barkley, and Kimani Vidal. Mike's season has already been ridiculous. A seven-hundredths projection margin feels completely appropriate.

Recap

Seven Hundredths Turns Into 8.25

The projection had these teams separated by 0.07 points. TinyGhosts ended up winning 108.40–100.15. Chuba Hubbard led TinyGhosts with 19.10, Rachaad White scored 15.70, RJ Harvey and Tetairoa McMillan each added 14.60, and Patrick Mahomes finished with 14.20. Mike got 26.65 from Kirk Cousins and 16.00 from CeeDee Lamb, but Kyren Williams managed only 9.70, A.J. Brown scored 5.70, and Darren Waller gave him a zero. Both teams fell well short of projection. TinyGhosts simply fell less short and gets win number two.

Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

👑 Falcaholics

Falcaholics

Proj 113.52

Final 86.80

Proj 126.44

Final 126.15

Preview

Falcaholics Finally Has a Functional Lineup Again

Tuesday's version of this matchup was mostly a contest between two damaged bye-week lineups. Friday looks considerably healthier. Falcaholics is now favored 127.04–119.95 over Alien Vs Deshaun. Daniel Jones has filled the quarterback hole for Falcaholics, which also has Ashton Jeanty, Cam Skattebo, Christian Watson, Dalton Kincaid, Tony Pollard, Alvin Kamara, and a Pittsburgh defense projected for 22.69. Alien has also repaired the quarterback spot with Justin Herbert and still brings Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Trey McBride, Khalil Shakir, and the Philadelphia defense. Tyjae Spears and Kyle Monangai are questionable, while Kamara carries a back designation for Falcaholics. Tuesday looked like roster triage. Friday looks like an actual matchup.

Recap

Falcaholics Gets Healthy and Gets Back to .500

Falcaholics finally fielded a functional lineup and the result was a comfortable 126.15–86.80 win over Alien Vs Deshaun. Tre Tucker led the way with 26.70, Daniel Jones scored 20.45, the Pittsburgh defense added 20.50, Ashton Jeanty scored 15.80, and Alvin Kamara added 14.90. Alien's best starter was Dameon Pierce at only 15.00, while Puka Nacua scored 14.00 and Trey McBride finished with 12.30. Falcaholics finished almost exactly on projection and improves to 3-3. Alien falls to 2-4 after missing projection by 26.72 points.

👑 Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 134.97

Final 82.95

Proj 119.28

Final 81.15

Preview

Multiple Is Still the Favorite After the 210-Point Explosion

Multiple Scoregasms followed last week's 210.40-point eruption by rebuilding around the bye week and now enters the weekend favored 139.19–125.38 over Insert Team Name. Aaron Rodgers has replaced the zero at quarterback, and Multiple still has Jaylen Warren, Bucky Irving, Parker Washington, Tyler Warren, Rashee Rice, Omarion Hampton, and a Carolina defense carrying a huge 25.82-point projection. Sam got only 3.90 from Courtland Sutton Thursday, pushing his expected total slightly downward. Insert Team Name still has Brock Purdy, Jonathan Taylor, Drake London, Terry McLaurin, Dalton Schultz, and Jeremiyah Love. Last week's monster score doesn't count anymore. Multiple's rebuilt Week 6 projection suggests it may not need to.

Recap

From 210 Points to an 82.95-Point Escape

One week after scoring 210.40, Multiple Scoregasms barely survived with 82.95. Insert Team Name finished at 81.15, giving Multiple a 1.80-point victory in one of the ugliest close games imaginable. Aaron Rodgers led Multiple with 23.55, but every other starter scored 13 or fewer and the lineup missed projection by 52.02 points. Sam got 22.00 from Brock Purdy and 21.10 from Jonathan Taylor, but Jeremiyah Love scored zero and the rest of the lineup never produced enough. Multiple moves to 5-1. Style points were very much not involved.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 5

6 Matchups▾

👑 Dmangina

Dmangina

Kalebglas13

Proj 122.02

Final 105.55

Proj 139.57

Final 98.45

Preview

Kaleb Takes Control of the 3-1 Showdown

Two 3-1 teams entered Week 5 looking for an early advantage in the standings, and Thursday gave Kalebglas13 exactly what he wanted. Javonte Williams scored 14.20 for Dmangina, finishing 5.10 points below projection and widening Kaleb's updated edge to 137.50–126.31. Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, Jaylen Waddle, Jameson Williams, and Sam Darnold are still waiting to play for Kaleb. Dmangina counters with Bijan Robinson, Malik Nabers, DJ Moore, and Tyler Shough, with several starters carrying questionable tags. Kaleb lost his perfect record last week by just 0.55 points. Now he has a chance to immediately recover against another contender. Dmangina needs a much better Sunday than Thursday if that 3-1 record is going to become 4-1.

Recap

Dmangina Steals One From Kaleb

Kaleb entered Week 5 as the favorite and left with another frustrating loss. Dmangina won 105.55–98.45 despite finishing 16.47 points below projection. Malik Nabers carried the upset with 29.10 points, while Brenton Strange added 13.80 and Dontayvion Wicks chipped in 11.30. Kaleb's lineup never really found a rhythm. Sam Darnold scored 14.25, Chase Brown managed 7.00, Romeo Doubs scored 2.60, Jaylen Waddle had 4.80, and T.J. Hockenson added just 1.70. Kaleb missed his projection by 41.12 points. Dmangina improves to 4-1 while Kaleb falls to 3-2.

Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

👑 They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

Proj 144.06

Final 156.60

Proj 135.69

Final 157.00

Preview

Egbuka Turns a Coin Flip Into a Bower Advantage

This matchup entered the week looking close. Then Emeka Egbuka scored 17.20 on Thursday, beating his projection by 6.36 and giving They Hit The 2nd Bower an early advantage over Sitzprobe. The updated forecast now favors Bower 142.22–132.89, a 9.33-point margin. Josh Allen, James Cook, Derrick Henry, DK Metcalf, and Sam LaPorta still haven't played for Bower, while Sitzprobe is counting on Trevor Lawrence, Matthew Golden, Tucker Kraft, Zay Flowers, and a Cleveland defense projected for 21.80 points. Sitzprobe is 3-1 after surviving last week's 0.55-point thriller. Bower is only 1-3 despite scoring 529.60 season points. Thursday gave the underdog in the standings a real head start. Now Sitzprobe needs another escape act.

Recap

Bower Wins by Four-Tenths

This one somehow got even closer than expected. They Hit The 2nd Bower edged Sitzprobe 157.00–156.60 in a 0.40-point thriller. Josh Allen led Bower with 35.60, James Cook added 22.80, Derrick Henry scored 21.00, and Sam LaPorta finished with 19.80. Sitzprobe answered with 30.05 from Trevor Lawrence, 20.30 from Matthew Golden, 20.35 from the Cleveland defense, and solid production almost everywhere else. Both teams comfortably beat their projections, but Bower beat his by more than 21 points and escaped with the narrowest win of the week. Sitzprobe has now been on the wrong side of a game decided by less than half a point.

👑 Odd Squad

oddthomas

TinyGhosts

Proj 171.13

Final 153.80

Proj 98.36

Final 73.60

Preview

Odd Squad Had a Bad Thursday. It's Still a Massacre on Paper.

For about five minutes, Thursday offered TinyGhosts a little hope. Dak Prescott scored 19.80 for Odd Squad, finishing 8.14 points below projection. Unfortunately, Jake Ferguson managed only 4.90 for TinyGhosts, and the remaining lineups still tell a horrifying story. Odd Squad is now projected to win 161.81–82.01, a ridiculous 79.80-point advantage. The undefeated 4-0 powerhouse still has Jahmyr Gibbs, Garrett Wilson, Nico Collins, George Kittle, and Chris Olave waiting to play. TinyGhosts has Jalen Hurts and RJ Harvey, but Saquon Barkley and Stefon Diggs currently carry zero projections and several starters are questionable. Odd Squad has already scored 677.60 points this season. TinyGhosts may want to spend Sunday doing literally anything else.

Recap

Odd Squad Keeps Steamrolling Everybody

The preview called it a massacre on paper. The actual game wasn't much kinder. Odd Squad crushed TinyGhosts 153.80–73.60 to remain perfect at 5-0. Jahmyr Gibbs led the way with 37.70, Garrett Wilson added 23.40, Dak Prescott scored 19.80, and Rhamondre Stevenson chipped in 17.50. TinyGhosts got 26.30 from Mike Evans, but almost nothing else went right. RJ Harvey scored 0.70, KC Concepcion managed 1.50, and several other starters fell well short of projection. The final margin was 80.20 points. Odd Squad remains undefeated and continues to look like the team everyone else is chasing.

Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

👑 Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

Proj 159.14

Final 137.35

Proj 131.85

Final 145.15

Preview

Cowabunga Gets 28 From Pickens and Starts Running Away

Alien Vs Deshaun finally earned its first victory last week and entered Week 5 hoping to build some momentum. George Pickens apparently took that personally. Pickens exploded for 28.00 points Thursday, beating his projection by 14.15 and pushing Cowabunga Dude! into a commanding 172.46–122.62 projected advantage. That's a 49.84-point gap before most of the players have even taken the field. Cowabunga still has Bo Nix, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Quinshon Judkins, Brock Bowers, and a Washington defense projected for 25.43 points. Alien counters with Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Trey McBride, Kyler Murray, and David Montgomery. D'Andre Swift is questionable for Cowabunga, while Alien has Kyle Monangai sitting on a zero projection. After Thursday, Alien's attempt at a winning streak already looks like an uphill climb.

Recap

Alien Flips the Script on Cowabunga

Cowabunga Dude! looked like one of the safest favorites of the week after Thursday. Instead, Alien Vs Deshaun came roaring back for a 145.15–136.35 upset. Puka Nacua led Alien with 37.70, Kyler Murray scored 22.55, Davante Adams added 22.10, and Trey McBride finished with 21.60. Cowabunga got 28.00 from George Pickens, 23.00 from Brock Bowers, and 22.80 from Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but several other starters missed badly. Bo Nix scored only 11.15 and Carnell Tate managed 1.60. Alien beats the projected favorite and improves to 2-3.

Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

👑 Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 120.86

Final 98.30

Proj 137.92

Final 122.20

Preview

Mike's Week 4 Miracle Has Officially Worn Off

Last week, Unnecessary Intoxication scored 160.20 points and finally escaped the winless club. This week, CeeDee Lamb scored 2.90 on Thursday against a 20.67 projection. Welcome back to reality, Mike. Insert Team Name entered Week 5 at 0-4, but Sam is now projected to win 136.42–100.20, a massive 36.22-point advantage. Mike still has Kirk Cousins, Kyren Williams, Rome Odunze, Keon Coleman, and the Raiders defense waiting to play, but digging out of this hole won't be easy. Sam counters with Brock Purdy, Jonathan Taylor, Drake London, Aaron Jones, Courtland Sutton, and the Houston defense, although Jeremiyah Love and Terry McLaurin are questionable. Sam is trying to avoid an 0-5 start. Mike is trying to prove last week's 160-point eruption wasn't a cruel joke played by the fantasy gods. Thursday strongly favored the cruel-joke theory.

Recap

Sam Finally Gets Off the Mat

Insert Team Name finally has a win. Sam beat Unnecessary Intoxication 122.20–98.30 to escape the 0-4 hole and improve to 1-4. Brock Purdy led the way with 23.05, the Houston defense scored 20.25, Aaron Jones added 18.70, and Drake London finished with 18.80. Mike got 19.60 from Kyren Williams and 18.15 from Kirk Cousins, but CeeDee Lamb's 2.90-point disaster was too much to overcome. Both teams finished below projection, but Mike missed his by more than 22 points. Week 4's 160-point miracle officially looks like a distant memory.

👑 Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

Falcaholics

Proj 156.04

Final 210.40

Proj 141.82

Final 122.40

Preview

Bucky Irving Just Made a Statement

Multiple Scoregasms entered Week 5 at 3-1 against a Falcaholics team whose 604.10 season points suggest it deserves a much better record than 2-2. Thursday gave Multiple an enormous head start. Bucky Irving exploded for 31.50 points, beating his projection by 16.26 and pushing Multiple's updated expected total to 168.01. Falcaholics remains at 138.26, leaving a 29.75-point projected gap. Multiple still has Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jaylen Warren, Parker Washington, Tyler Warren, and a Jacksonville defense projected for 22.56 points. Falcaholics counters with Joe Burrow, Ashton Jeanty, Cam Skattebo, Justin Jefferson, Tee Higgins, Christian Watson, and Alvin Kamara, although several carry questionable tags. Falcaholics has been one of the league's strongest scoring teams all season. Unfortunately, Bucky Irving apparently didn't get the memo that this was supposed to be a close matchup.

Recap

Multiple Scoregasms Drops 210

There are big wins, and then there is whatever this was. Multiple Scoregasms exploded for 210.40 points and destroyed Falcaholics 210.40–122.40. Jared Goff scored 37.65, Jaylen Warren added 36.80, Bucky Irving scored 31.50, Parker Washington delivered 30.40, and Tyler Warren added 21.40. Multiple beat its projection by an absurd 54.36 points. Falcaholics actually got 34.50 from Joe Burrow and 32.30 from Christian Watson, but it didn't matter. The final margin was 88.00 points. Multiple improves to 4-1 and just delivered the kind of score everyone in the league notices.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 4

6 Matchups▾

👑 Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

Kalebglas13

Proj 136.68

Final 137.70

Proj 142.61

Final 137.15

Preview

Kaleb's 3-0 Start Is Suddenly in Real Danger

Tuesday had Kaleb entering Week 4 as the favorite. By Friday, that story has completely flipped. Sitzprobe is now expected to win 148.34–127.58, even after the Browns defense scored 16.45 Thursday and fell 7.08 points short of its projection. Kaleb hasn't had anyone play yet, but DeVonta Smith is questionable and currently carries a zero projection. Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, and Travis Kelce still give the undefeated team plenty of firepower, but Sitzprobe now has a 20.76-point expected advantage. The first 3-0 record of the week is officially under attack.

Recap

Sitzprobe Wins by Half a Point

This one came down to almost nothing. Sitzprobe handed Kalebglas13 his first loss with a 137.70–137.15 victory — a margin of just 0.55 points. Kenneth Walker led Sitzprobe with 30.90, Zay Flowers added 25.80, and Tucker Kraft chipped in 16.50. Kaleb got 23.80 from Romeo Doubs, 20.00 from Sam Darnold, and 19.10 from Chase Brown, but Travis Kelce's 3.50 proved painfully expensive in a matchup this close. Kaleb entered as the projected favorite, but Sitzprobe survives the week's closest finish and joins him at 3-1.

👑 Dmangina

Dmangina

TinyGhosts

Proj 142.17

Final 151.50

Proj 120.67

Final 142.95

Preview

Well, This Changed Quite a Bit

Tuesday made this look like a comfortable Dmangina matchup. Friday says forget all of that. TinyGhosts has cleaned up the lineup and now enters the weekend as a microscopic 142.69–140.92 favorite. Patrick Mahomes, Saquon Barkley, Chuba Hubbard, Tetairoa McMillan, and Mike Evans now lead TinyGhosts, while Dmangina counters with Bijan Robinson, Javonte Williams, Malik Nabers, and Tyler Shough. Nobody played Thursday, and only 1.77 expected points separate them. What looked like one of Tuesday's clearer matchups has become the closest one of the week.

Recap

Dmangina Survives the TinyGhost Explosion

TinyGhosts finally put together the kind of week the roster has been threatening to produce, including an absurd 45.20 from Tetairoa McMillan. It still wasn't enough. Dmangina won 151.50–142.95 behind 31.30 from Javonte Williams, 27.70 from Bijan Robinson, and 23.20 from Malik Nabers. TinyGhosts beat projection by 22.28 points despite taking a zero from Ladd McConkey, but Dmangina simply kept scoring. The win moves Dmangina to 3-1. TinyGhosts falls to 1-3 after discovering that apparently 142.95 points isn't always enough either.

👑 Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

Proj 133.69

Final 129.35

Proj 137.96

Final 121.40

Preview

Alien's Search for a Win Gets Harder

Alien Vs Deshaun finally got on the board Thursday, but so did They Hit The 2nd Bower — and Bower got the better result. Harold Fannin scored 11.70 for Alien, almost exactly matching projection, while DK Metcalf delivered 16.50 for Bower and beat his projection by 6.83. That pushes Bower's updated expectation to 143.10 against Alien's 133.34. Alien has plenty of talent with Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Trey McBride, and David Montgomery, but the 0-3 team is already chasing. Apparently the search for win number one needed another obstacle.

Recap

The Alien Has Finally Landed

Alien Vs Deshaun is winless no more. Kyle Monangai erupted for 28.00 points, Puka Nacua added 27.70, and Alien knocked off They Hit The 2nd Bower 129.35–121.40. Bower entered as the projected favorite and got 24.05 from Josh Allen, 22.40 from Sam LaPorta, and 16.50 from DK Metcalf, but a zero from Kenyon Sadiq and several other misses opened the door. Alien didn't exactly dominate — the team actually finished 4.34 below projection — but after starting 0-3, nobody is asking for style points. The first win is finally on the board.

👑 Odd Squad

oddthomas

Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 168.09

Final 151.80

Proj 133.49

Final 103.45

Preview

Oh Good, Sam Still Gets Odd Squad

Nothing happened Thursday to rescue Sam from this situation. Insert Team Name remains 0-3 and now heads into the weekend against the league's highest-scoring team. Odd Squad is 3-0 with 525.80 season points and carries a 165.21–143.98 expected advantage. Sam at least brings Lamar Jackson, Jonathan Taylor, Jeremiyah Love, and Drake London, while Odd Squad answers with Dak Prescott, Jahmyr Gibbs, Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, and Nico Collins. There is enough firepower here for Sam to make it interesting. Unfortunately, we've been saying things like that about his team for three weeks.

Recap

Odd Squad Is 4-0. Sam Is... Not.

There was no miracle. Odd Squad handled Insert Team Name 151.80–103.45 and remains the league's only undefeated team at 4-0. Nico Collins led the way with 30.80, Dak Prescott scored 23.45, and Chris Olave added 19.60. Sam got respectable performances from Lamar Jackson and Jonathan Taylor, but not nearly enough behind them to threaten the league leader. Odd Squad didn't even reach its projection and still won by 48.35 points. Sam falls to 0-4, while Odd Squad sits alone at the top looking increasingly unpleasant to play.

👑 Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

Proj 141.45

Final 127.60

Proj 158.73

Final 97.30

Preview

Cowabunga Just Put an Undefeated Team on Notice

This was essentially a coin flip entering Thursday. Quinshon Judkins changed that quickly. He exploded for 21.60 points for Cowabunga Dude!, doubling his 10.80 projection, while Jaylen Warren scored 15.60 for Multiple Scoregasms. Cowabunga now carries a 164.56–150.35 expected advantage over the 3-0 Multiple, a 14.21-point gap in a matchup that originally separated the teams by only 0.30. Cowabunga may be only 1-2, but it has already outscored Multiple on the season. If Thursday was any indication, the records may finally be starting to catch up with the points.

Recap

Cowabunga Blows Up Another Perfect Record

Multiple Scoregasms entered Week 4 undefeated and projected to win. Then almost the entire lineup forgot to score. Cowabunga Dude! cruised to a 127.60–97.30 upset behind 28.75 from Bryce Young, 21.60 from Quinshon Judkins, and 20.60 from Brock Bowers. Multiple missed projection by a staggering 61.43 points, with Rashee Rice scoring zero and six other starters failing to reach double digits. Cowabunga improves to 2-2 and has now scored 574.00 points on the season. Multiple falls to 3-1 after one of those weeks where deleting the fantasy app starts to feel reasonable.

👑 Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

Falcaholics

Proj 112.31

Final 160.20

Proj 143.39

Final 141.80

Preview

Hey, the 0-4 Situation Got Slightly Less Terrible

We're counting progress wherever we can find it. Falcaholics got 16.30 from the Steelers defense Thursday, but that was 7.45 below projection, shrinking Mike's expected deficit. Unfortunately, shrinking is not the same thing as disappearing. Falcaholics still leads 142.36–114.60, with Joe Burrow, Ashton Jeanty, Cam Skattebo, Tee Higgins, and Justin Jefferson waiting for the weekend. Unnecessary Intoxication counters with CeeDee Lamb, Kyren Williams, Rome Odunze, and new quarterback Kirk Cousins. The gap is down from 35.22 to 27.76 points. At this rate, Mike only needs Thursday night to happen about four more times.

Recap

WAIT. MIKE ACTUALLY WON?

Apparently all Unnecessary Intoxication needed was to be mocked repeatedly. Mike entered Week 4 as a massive underdog and then exploded for 160.20 points, beating Falcaholics 160.20–141.80 for his first win of the season. CeeDee Lamb went nuclear for 41.30, Kyren Williams added 36.70, and Kirk Cousins delivered 31.25. Mike beat his projection by an absurd 47.89 points and nearly matched his entire scoring output from some previous weeks in one afternoon. Falcaholics actually scored 141.80 and still lost. Unnecessary Intoxication is 1-3. The dream of 0-14 is officially dead.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 3

6 Matchups▾

👑 Kalebglas13

Kalebglas13

TinyGhosts

Proj 144.06

Final 153.45

Proj 137.26

Final 78.45

Preview

Kaleb's Perfect Start Is Still in Trouble

Kalebglas13 remains 2-0, but TinyGhosts still holds a clear projection advantage at 137.16–121.37. Neither side had a Thursday starter, so the matchup has not moved yet. TinyGhosts brings Jalen Hurts, De'Von Achane, Saquon Barkley, Ladd McConkey, and Tetairoa McMillan, while Kaleb counters with Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, DeVonta Smith, Travis Kelce, and Jaylen Waddle. Kaleb also still has an empty starter slot showing, which helps explain the 15.79-point gap heading into the weekend.

Recap

Kaleb Turns Trouble Into a 75-Point Beatdown

So much for Kaleb's perfect start being in trouble. Sam Darnold exploded for 41.45 points and the Vikings defense added 31.90 as Kalebglas13 absolutely flattened TinyGhosts 153.45–78.45. TinyGhosts entered as the healthier-looking side in Friday's preview but proceeded to miss projection by 58.81 points, with Jalen Hurts leading the entire lineup at just 15.15. Kaleb improves to 3-0, while TinyGhosts falls to 1-2 after a loss that probably should have come with a mercy rule.

👑 Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

Proj 122.24

Final 139.40

Proj 132.70

Final 104.90

Preview

Sitzprobe Chips Away at the Gap

Alien Vs Deshaun is still favored, but Thursday helped Sitzprobe make this a little more interesting. Matthew Golden scored 21.00, beating projection by 8.50, while Tucker Kraft came in 4.85 below expectation with 6.60. Sitzprobe's updated expected total rises to 121.79, trimming Alien's advantage from 18.54 points to 14.89. Alien still has Justin Herbert, Breece Hall, Davante Adams, Trey McBride, and Puka Nacua waiting, although Nacua remains questionable with groin soreness.

Recap

Sitzprobe Finishes the Upset

Friday said Sitzprobe was chipping away at the gap. By the end of the weekend, there wasn't a gap left. Trevor Lawrence scored 28.60, Ja'Marr Chase added 24.80, and Matthew Golden's big Thursday performance held up as Sitzprobe beat Alien Vs Deshaun 139.40–104.90. Alien entered as the projected favorite but fell 27.80 points short of expectation, with several starters struggling badly. Sitzprobe moves to 2-1, while Alien Vs Deshaun drops to 0-3 and is still searching for something resembling a good Sunday.

👑 Dmangina

Dmangina

Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 134.66

Final 150.55

Proj 129.69

Final 144.50

Preview

Bijan Flips the Matchup

This one completely changed Thursday night. Insert Team Name opened as a 6.14-point favorite, but Bijan Robinson erupted for 35.30 points for Dmangina, finishing 15.18 above projection. Sam got 28.40 from Drake London, but Kyle Pitts managed only 1.50, leaving Insert Team Name at an updated expected 143.94. Dmangina now sits at 146.06 and has flipped the matchup into a 2.12-point advantage. What looked like Sam's best chance to get his first win is now essentially a coin flip.

Recap

Dmangina Wins the Coin Flip

The Friday preview called this one essentially a coin flip, and that's about what we got. Dmangina survived Insert Team Name 150.55–144.50, with Tyler Shough's 35.35 joining Bijan Robinson's 35.30 to provide the difference. Sam got 28.40 from Drake London, 26.30 from Lamar Jackson, and 23.30 from the Texans defense, but Kyle Pitts' 1.50 and Jonathan Taylor's 9.20 helped sink an otherwise strong week. Dmangina moves to 2-1. Insert Team Name somehow scores 144.50 and falls to 0-3, because fantasy football is a deeply unserious activity.

👑 Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

Proj 155.44

Final 127.45

Proj 141.61

Final 114.45

Preview

Multiple Scoregasms Still Holds the Better Hand

Nothing on Thursday changed this matchup, leaving Multiple Scoregasms projected ahead 154.91–140.16. Multiple brings Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Bucky Irving, Omarion Hampton, Parker Washington, and Rashee Rice, while They Hit The 2nd Bower counters with Josh Allen, James Cook, Derrick Henry, and Sam LaPorta. Jaylen Warren is questionable for Multiple, but the 14.75-point edge remains intact heading into the weekend.

Recap

Multiple Scoregasms Survives an Ugly One

Nobody came particularly close to the numbers Sleeper promised us, but Multiple Scoregasms did enough. Jared Goff scored 26.05 and Jaylen Warren added 20.60 as Multiple beat They Hit The 2nd Bower 127.45–114.45. Both teams finished more than 27 points below projection, turning what looked like a potential shootout into something considerably less glamorous. Multiple Scoregasms doesn't have to apologize, though. A win is a win, and the perfect start continues at 3-0.

👑 Odd Squad

oddthomas

Falcaholics

Proj 154.98

Final 206.60

Proj 141.54

Final 129.95

Preview

Falcaholics Just Took the Lead

The Week 3 heavyweight matchup has already flipped. Odd Squad opened as a 3.78-point favorite, but Christian Watson scored 22.60 for Falcaholics, nearly seven above projection, pushing the updated expected total to 146.59. Odd Squad has not had a starter play yet and remains at 143.38. That gives Falcaholics a 3.21-point edge in a matchup between two 2-0 teams. Nico Collins is also still questionable with a hamstring injury for Odd Squad, making this one even more interesting heading into the weekend.

Recap

Odd Squad Drops 206 in the Heavyweight Fight

Well, that escalated quickly. The matchup between two undefeated teams turned into a public demonstration of excessive scoring as Odd Squad obliterated Falcaholics 206.60–129.95. Jahmyr Gibbs led the way with 41.40, while George Kittle, Garrett Wilson, Juwan Johnson, and basically everyone else decided to join in. Odd Squad beat its projection by 51.62 points and became the first team this season to crack 200. Falcaholics actually scored a respectable 129.95 and lost by 76.65. Odd Squad is 3-0, has scored 525.80 points through three weeks, and apparently needs to calm down.

Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

👑 Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

Proj 116.40

Final 86.80

Proj 148.09

Final 162.50

Preview

Cowabunga Still Has a Massive Edge

Nothing Thursday changed the outlook here. Cowabunga Dude! remains projected to win 148.69–115.34, a 33.34-point advantage over Unnecessary Intoxication. Bryce Young, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, George Pickens, D'Andre Swift, and Brock Bowers give Cowabunga the stronger overall lineup, though Bowers and Jalen Coker are both questionable. Unnecessary Intoxication still has CeeDee Lamb, Kyren Williams, Drake Maye, and a few upside plays, but the gap remains the largest on the board. One of these 0-2 teams is finally getting a win, and Cowabunga is still in the far better position.

Recap

Cowabunga Gets Its Win. Mike Gets Obliterated.

The projections weren't lying. Cowabunga Dude! destroyed Unnecessary Intoxication 162.50–86.80 to finally get into the win column. Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 35.50, Brock Bowers added 27.60, and Michael Wilson piled on another 25.90. Mike, meanwhile, got 7.75 from Drake Maye, 1.20 from Jadarian Price, and 1.90 from Terrance Ferguson on the way to a third straight loss. Cowabunga improves to 1-2. Unnecessary Intoxication falls to 0-3 and currently has the fewest points in the league, so at least the team name remains accurate.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 2

6 Matchups▾

Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

👑 Kalebglas13

Kalebglas13

Proj 125.30

Final 115.75

Proj 140.13

Final 151.25

Preview

Alien Has Opened Up a Little Space

Alien Vs Deshaun is now projected ahead 143.08–137.29, stretching the edge to 5.79 points. Puka Nacua, Trey McBride, David Montgomery, and Justin Herbert give Alien a strong core, while Kalebglas13 counters with Christian McCaffrey, Chase Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Travis Kelce. This is still one of the closer matchups of the week, but Alien's advantage is a little more comfortable than it was earlier.

Recap

Kaleb Stays Perfect

Kalebglas13 moved to 2-0 with a 151.25–115.75 win over Alien Vs Deshaun. DeVonta Smith scored 27.70, Travis Kelce added 25.10, Christian McCaffrey put up 22.60, and Jaylen Waddle chipped in 21.80. Alien got a monster 39.50 from Davante Adams, but David Montgomery and the injured Puka Nacua spot left too much ground to make up.

👑 TinyGhosts

TinyGhosts

Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 145.08

Final 122.85

Proj 133.53

Final 107.40

Preview

TinyGhosts Still Holds the Better Hand

TinyGhosts remains favored, 141.36–132.24, behind Jalen Hurts, De'Von Achane, Saquon Barkley, and Tetairoa McMillan. Insert Team Name still has Lamar Jackson, Jonathan Taylor, Drake London, and Terry McLaurin, so there is plenty of upside on both sides. Ladd McConkey and RJ Harvey are both carrying questionable tags for TinyGhosts, which keeps this from feeling completely safe.

Recap

TinyGhosts Gets Back on Track

TinyGhosts picked up its first win of the season with a 122.85–107.40 victory over Insert Team Name. Jalen Hurts led the offense with 24.80, while the New England defense scored 27.45 and Tetairoa McMillan added 15.10. Insert Team Name got 29.20 from Jonathan Taylor, but too many other starters came in below projection. Sam drops to 0-2.

Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

👑 Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

Proj 133.92

Final 110.05

Proj 140.15

Final 178.35

Preview

Multiple Scoregasms Keeps the Edge

Multiple Scoregasms still leads the projection battle, 139.53–130.08. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jared Goff, Bucky Irving, Omarion Hampton, and a huge Green Bay defense projection give the lineup a strong base. Sitzprobe counters with Ja'Marr Chase, Kenneth Walker, Trevor Lawrence, and Travis Etienne. The gap is 9.45 points, enough to matter but not enough to call this settled.

Recap

Multiple Scoregasms Goes Nuclear

Multiple Scoregasms exploded for 178.35 points in a 68.30-point win over Sitzprobe. Jared Goff led the way with 41.05, Amon-Ra St. Brown added 35.20, and nearly the entire lineup contributed. Sitzprobe got 26.50 from Ja'Marr Chase and 23.80 from Kenneth Walker, but it was nowhere near enough. Multiple Scoregasms improves to 2-0 with one of the biggest performances of the season.

Dmangina

👑 Falcaholics

Falcaholics

Proj 138.94

Final 73.15

Proj 140.69

Final 129.10

Preview

The 200-Point Team Is Now a Coin Flip

Falcaholics followed its 203.25-point Week 1 explosion by landing in the closest projected matchup of Week 2. The current edge is just 139.26–138.73 over Dmangina — a difference of only 0.52 points. Dmangina brings Jayden Daniels, Bijan Robinson, Javonte Williams, and Malik Nabers. Falcaholics answers with Justin Jefferson, Ashton Jeanty, Tee Higgins, and Dalton Kincaid, though Joe Burrow and Michael Pittman are both now questionable. This one could move with a single injury update.

Recap

Falcaholics Cruises to 2-0

Falcaholics handled Dmangina 129.10–73.15 to stay perfect. Dalton Kincaid led the lineup with 22.50, while Joe Burrow and the Pittsburgh defense helped carry a balanced effort. Dmangina had a brutal week, finishing 65.79 points below projection with almost every starter missing expectations. Falcaholics moves to 2-0 while Dmangina falls back to .500.

Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

👑 They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

Proj 125.68

Final 125.55

Proj 138.26

Final 151.90

Preview

Unnecessary Intoxication Has Closed the Gap

The projection deficit has narrowed, with They Hit The 2nd Bower now favored 133.53–124.25. Unnecessary Intoxication has moved on to Baker Mayfield at quarterback and still has Kyren Williams and CeeDee Lamb carrying the lineup. They Hit The 2nd Bower remains strong behind Josh Allen, James Cook, Derrick Henry, and DK Metcalf. The gap is down to 9.28 points, making this much more manageable than it looked earlier.

Recap

Josh Allen Powers Bower to the Win

They Hit The 2nd Bower beat Unnecessary Intoxication 151.90–125.55 behind a massive 49.30-point performance from Josh Allen. James Cook, Derrick Henry, and Sam LaPorta all added strong games. Unnecessary Intoxication actually finished almost exactly on projection and got 35.30 from CeeDee Lamb plus 17.40 from Terrance Ferguson, but Allen's explosion was too much to overcome.

Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

👑 Odd Squad

oddthomas

Proj 141.17

Final 144.30

Proj 153.09

Final 151.80

Preview

Cowabunga Has Made This More Interesting

Odd Squad is still favored, but Cowabunga Dude! has cut the gap considerably. The projections now sit at 162.47–145.00, with Cowabunga getting a big boost from the Tampa Bay defense projection and a lineup featuring Jaxon Smith-Njigba, George Pickens, and Brock Bowers. Odd Squad still has Dak Prescott, Jahmyr Gibbs, Nico Collins, Chris Olave, and Garrett Wilson, but Nico and Juwan Johnson are both questionable. Cowabunga has injury concerns of its own with D'Andre Swift, Brock Bowers, and Jalen Coker, so this one could still shift before kickoff.

Recap

Odd Squad Survives the Shootout

Odd Squad stayed unbeaten with a 151.80–144.30 win over Cowabunga Dude! Dak Prescott led Odd Squad with 40.55, while Chris Olave and Jahmyr Gibbs added strong support. Cowabunga got huge performances from Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Bryce Young and actually beat projection, but still came up 7.50 points short. Odd Squad moves to 2-0, while Cowabunga somehow falls to 0-2 despite scoring 283.90 points through two weeks.

Last One, I Swear!

Week 1

6 Matchups▾

👑 Kalebglas13

Kalebglas13

Insert Team Name

SamuelsSlowJamz

Proj 147.60

Final 129.05

Proj 131.53

Final 97.50

Preview

Kaleb Still Leads, But the Gap Shrinks

Kalebglas13 opened Week 1 with a healthy projected advantage, but Christian McCaffrey's 13.80 came in below expectation and trimmed that lead. Kaleb now sits at an updated expected total of 142.39, while Insert Team Name remains at 132.98 with no starters having scored yet. Kaleb is still favored, but the gap has narrowed from 15.18 points to 9.41, and Jeremiyah Love's questionable ankle tag gives SamuelsSlowJamz another storyline to watch heading into the weekend.

Recap

Kalebglas13 Wins Despite Leaving Points Everywhere

Kalebglas13 beat Insert Team Name 129.05–97.50, even though several starters came in well under projection. Caleb Williams did the heavy lifting with 43.95 points, while Chase Brown and the Vikings defense also delivered. Insert Team Name got solid games from Lamar Jackson and Jonathan Taylor, but too many lineup spots collapsed. It was not pretty, but 1-0 does not care.

Alien Vs Deshaun

BigDaddyB65

👑 Multiple Scoregasms

maguijac

Proj 143.09

Final 132.25

Proj 152.98

Final 136.60

Preview

Multiple Scoregasms Pulls Away

Multiple Scoregasms already entered the week as the favorite, and Thursday widened the gap. Alien Vs Deshaun got 18.00 combined from Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, but both finished well below projection, dropping the updated expected total to 124.81. Multiple Scoregasms has not had a starter score yet and remains at 153.63, stretching the expected margin from 13.22 points to 28.83. The Detroit-heavy favorite has not even taken the field yet and already looks much more comfortable.

Recap

Multiple Scoregasms Escapes a Close One

Multiple Scoregasms survived Alien Vs Deshaun 136.60–132.25 in one of the closest games of Week 1. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the way with 28.70, while Bucky Irving and Parker Washington helped keep the offense moving. Alien got strong performances from David Montgomery, Trey McBride, and Breece Hall, but came up 4.35 points short. Close enough to hurt.

👑 Falcaholics

Falcaholics

TinyGhosts

Proj 146.30

Final 203.25

Proj 137.86

Final 129.30

Preview

Falcaholics Holds Steady

Falcaholics entered the week as the favorite and Thursday did almost nothing to change that story. TinyGhosts got 16.90 from Mike Evans and 13.35 from the Patriots defense, but the combined production landed almost exactly in line with projection. The updated totals now sit at 151.30 for Falcaholics and 139.95 for TinyGhosts, leaving the spread almost unchanged. This one is still wide open, but Falcaholics heads into the weekend with roughly the same 11-point cushion it started with.

Recap

Falcaholics Goes Completely Nuclear

Falcaholics obliterated TinyGhosts 203.25–129.30, posting the league's first 200-point game of the season. Jaxson Dart scored 34.90, Ashton Jeanty and Christian Watson each put up 32.70, and Justin Jefferson added 31.20. TinyGhosts actually scored a respectable 129.30, but it barely mattered. Week 1 was less a matchup and more a controlled demolition.

Unnecessary Intoxication

CactusHat

👑 Sitzprobe

TarenCapel

Proj 127.46

Final 84.00

Proj 141.17

Final 150.05

Preview

Unnecessary Intoxication Gets Hammered Early

Thursday was brutal for Unnecessary Intoxication. Drake Maye, Kyren Williams, Jadarian Price, A.J. Brown, Blake Corum, and the Rams defense combined for 61.40 points, but most of them fell well short of projection, dropping the team's updated expected total all the way to 92.98. Sitzprobe has not had a starter score yet and remains at 139.24, turning an 11.78-point projected edge into a massive 46.26-point advantage. A.J. Brown is also listed OUT with an ankle injury, while Rome Odunze is questionable, making an already rough start even worse.

Recap

Unnecessary Intoxication Was Very Necessary

Sitzprobe crushed Unnecessary Intoxication 150.05–84.00 in a 66.05-point rout. Trevor Lawrence scored 36.55 and Kenneth Walker added 34.10, while Zay Flowers also delivered 26.00. Unnecessary Intoxication never got going, with A.J. Brown, Drake Maye, and several others falling well short of projection. The team name was more fun than the scoreboard.

👑 Dmangina

Dmangina

Cowabunga Dude!

RCff

Proj 146.83

Final 148.10

Proj 140.09

Final 139.60

Preview

Cowabunga Dude Flips It by 0.04

This matchup was already almost impossibly close, and Thursday somehow made it even tighter. Jaxon Smith-Njigba exploded for 26.20 points for Cowabunga Dude!, pushing the updated expected total to 146.51. Dmangina has not had a starter score yet and remains at 146.47, which means the entire matchup is now separated by exactly 0.04 points. Malik Nabers is also carrying a questionable tag for Dmangina. At this point, calling this a coin flip almost feels too decisive.

Recap

Dmangina Holds Off Cowabunga Dude!

Dmangina beat Cowabunga Dude! 148.10–139.60 in a matchup that stayed competitive throughout. Bijan Robinson led Dmangina with 31.30 points, while Javonte Williams and DJ Moore both delivered big games. Cowabunga got 33.80 from Jalen Coker, 32.40 from D'Andre Swift, and 26.20 from Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but a disastrous defensive performance left too much ground to make up. Dmangina escapes Week 1 at 1-0.

👑 Odd Squad

oddthomas

They Hit The 2nd Bower

seahawks12420

Proj 148.40

Final 167.40

Proj 137.25

Final 141.85

Preview

Odd Squad Extends the Advantage

Odd Squad opened the week as the favorite and Thursday only strengthened that position. They Hit The 2nd Bower got 19.45 from the Seahawks defense, but Rashid Shaheed managed just 1.40, dropping the team's updated expected total to 124.55. Odd Squad has not had a starter score yet and remains at 148.48, stretching the expected margin to 23.93 points. The underdog still has Josh Allen, James Cook, and Derrick Henry waiting, but the path back has gotten noticeably steeper.

Recap

Odd Squad Keeps the Pressure On

Odd Squad beat They Hit The 2nd Bower 167.40–141.85 behind a balanced lineup led by Jahmyr Gibbs, Chris Olave, and Nico Collins. They Hit The 2nd Bower got enormous games from Josh Allen and Derrick Henry, but several receivers failed to keep pace. Scoring 141.85 and still losing is a rough way to start the season.